Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Cavaliers win
54¢
45¢
45¢
Heat win
46¢
55¢
56¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← CLE wins byMIA wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Donovan Mitchell
34
25.4
5.5
5.5
James Harden
34
18.8
4.5
5.8
Peyton Watson
29
13.0
5.4
3.3
Jarrett Allen
26
14.9
9.0
1.2
Jaylon Tyson
22
10.0
3.6
2.5
Meleek Thomas
22
12.3
2.6
1.1
Mario Hezonja
20
8.1
5.6
1.6
Tyrese Proctor
19
8.6
3.2
2.7
Craig Porter Jr.
8
1.8
1.6
1.2
Thomas Bryant
8
4.2
2.2
0.2
Riley Minix
6
3.1
1.0
0.3
Norchad Omier
6
2.8
2.0
0.8
Out: Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley
Heat
Miami Heat: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Davion Mitchell
37
16.8
2.3
8.6
Bam Adebayo
34
18.5
9.0
3.9
Giannis Antetokounmpo
34
29.7
12.4
5.6
Andrew Wiggins
26
9.4
2.8
1.7
Bobby Portis
20
8.8
5.8
1.7
Pelle LarssonDay-To-Day
18
7.5
2.2
2.2
Klay ThompsonDay-To-Day
16
9.5
1.0
1.3
Ryan Conwell
13
4.3
1.2
1.2
Tim Hardaway Jr.
12
4.1
1.2
0.6
Nikola Jovic
7
1.7
1.1
0.5
Tre Donaldson
6
0.0
0.0
0.0
Keshad Johnson
6
3.6
1.2
0.3
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.
Cavaliers
Heat
