Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Warriors win
29¢
16¢
16¢
Spurs win
71¢
84¢
85¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← GS wins bySA wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Warriors
Golden State Warriors: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Brandin Podziemski
36
19.9
4.6
3.9
Yaxel Lendeborg
34
22.9
7.8
3.9
Draymond Green
28
3.9
5.5
7.9
De'Anthony Melton
24
10.4
4.4
2.5
Georges Niang
22
8.6
3.3
1.6
Al Horford
19
5.4
3.7
2.3
Gui Santos
19
7.6
3.7
1.8
Will Richard
19
4.7
2.2
0.9
Gary Payton II
14
6.1
1.8
0.6
Charles BasseyDay-To-Day
8
4.8
3.5
0.4
Graham Ike
8
4.2
2.1
0.8
LJ Cryer
7
3.4
0.5
0.7
Out: Jimmy Butler III, Stephen Curry, Moses Moody, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandon Williams
Spurs
San Antonio Spurs: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Dylan Harper
32
17.3
5.4
4.8
Victor Wembanyama
30
30.3
11.7
3.1
Stephon Castle
29
14.0
6.0
5.9
Julian Champagnie
26
9.7
3.9
1.5
Keldon Johnson
25
10.2
6.0
2.1
Devin VassellDay-To-Day
18
7.1
2.3
1.6
De'Aaron FoxDay-To-Day
18
9.2
2.5
3.7
Luke Kornet
15
3.8
4.0
1.2
Harrison Barnes
13
5.2
0.8
0.3
Carter Bryant
10
4.3
1.2
0.9
Maliq Brown
6
0.0
0.0
6.0
Ja'Kobi Gillespie
6
7.5
0.0
0.0
Out: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.