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NBA games

Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans

MEM GrizzliesRested
69%
NO PelicansRested
31%

Grizzlies win 6,909 of 10,000 sims. Market: 59%.

Spread
MEM −7.1mkt MEM −3.5
NO covers
39%
Total
238.4mkt 235.5
Over 235.5
57%
Median score
123–116

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Grizzlies win69¢59¢60¢
Pelicans win31¢41¢41¢

How the 10,000 games ended

20%20+11%15–1914%10–1414%5–911%1–412%1–49%5–95%10–143%15–192%20+
← MEM wins byNO wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Grizzlies

Memphis Grizzlies: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Cameron Boozer3416.910.45.8
Ty Jerome3327.43.76.0
Cedric Coward3015.17.62.7
Jaylen Wells2912.03.01.3
Jerami Grant2512.42.51.6
Cam Spencer2110.23.05.9
Isaiah Stewart1911.04.00.9
GG Jackson148.02.71.1
Kris Murray81.61.10.7
Karim Lopez62.31.20.0
Jahmai Mashack61.70.80.9
Javon Small63.30.81.0

Out: Zach Edey, Scotty Pippen Jr., Quinten Post, Richie Saunders

Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Zion Williamson3824.66.13.3
Jeremiah Fears3521.85.35.6
Saddiq Bey3218.94.02.5
Herbert Jones277.23.71.5
Derik Queen2414.17.82.8
Karlo Matkovic229.34.81.2
Jordan Poole167.41.62.2
Bennedict MathurinDay-To-Day114.41.61.2
Malik Dia70.00.00.0
AJ Johnson72.90.70.8
DeAndre Jordan71.92.70.4
Jaron Pierre Jr.74.04.00.0

Out: Bryce McGowens, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Trendon Watford

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.