ClosingLine
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NBA games

Milwaukee Bucks at Orlando Magic

MIL BucksRested
26%
ORL MagicRested
74%

Magic win 7,391 of 10,000 sims. Market: 77%.

Spread
ORL −8.9mkt ORL −9.5
ORL covers
48%
Total
227.0mkt 224.5
Over 224.5
56%
Median score
109–118

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Bucks win26¢23¢23¢
Magic win74¢77¢78¢

How the 10,000 games ended

2%20+3%15–195%10–148%5–99%1–414%1–415%5–913%10–1412%15–1921%20+
← MIL wins byORL wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Bucks

Milwaukee Bucks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Tyler Herro3119.84.75.1
Jaime Jaquez Jr.2816.84.93.3
Myles Turner278.25.82.4
Kyle Kuzma2710.75.23.1
Cormac Ryan2514.32.51.7
Brayden Burries2310.45.62.3
Ryan Rollins2311.94.14.0
Kel'el Ware188.76.20.9
AJ Green177.81.81.2
Kam Jones174.41.74.2
Nate Ament62.30.80.2

Magic

Orlando Magic: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Franz Wagner3725.06.37.2
Desmond Bane3519.04.12.9
Wendell Carter Jr.3313.19.31.4
Anthony Black3317.55.74.9
Tristan da Silva3114.24.22.1
Jase Richardson226.61.92.3
Jamal Cain217.93.60.7
Alex Morales112.22.00.8
Jevon Carter102.90.81.1
Nikola Vucevic62.11.70.8

Out: Paolo Banchero, Jonathan Isaac, Izaiyah Nelson, Noah Penda

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.