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NBA games

New York Knicks at Indiana Pacers

NY KnicksRested
71%
IND PacersRested
29%

Knicks win 7,128 of 10,000 sims. Market: 74%.

Spread
NY −8.2mkt NY −8.5
IND covers
51%
Total
222.9mkt 219.5
Over 219.5
59%
Median score
116–108

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Knicks win71¢74¢76¢
Pacers win29¢26¢25¢

How the 10,000 games ended

21%20+11%15–1913%10–1415%5–911%1–411%1–48%5–95%10–143%15–192%20+
← NY wins byIND wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Knicks

New York Knicks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jalen Brunson3325.42.86.0
OG Anunoby3316.95.52.2
Karl-Anthony Towns3120.813.14.4
Josh Hart319.16.23.5
Landry Shamet269.11.61.9
Mikal Bridges236.92.72.1
Miles McBride198.41.61.3
Andre Drummond144.57.61.4
Tyler Kolek113.91.43.7
Jordan Clarkson94.61.50.7
Mohamed Diawara82.40.90.9
Jose Alvarado20.60.20.3

Pacers

Indiana Pacers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Andrew Nembhard3316.92.49.3
Pascal Siakam3223.67.14.4
Quenton Jackson2210.53.43.4
Kelly Oubre Jr.218.43.21.0
Ivica Zubac219.27.21.4
Jarace Walker207.44.92.1
Obi Toppin1912.84.51.7
Aaron NesmithDay-To-Day167.51.50.9
Larry Nance Jr.154.92.50.7
Jay Huff156.13.21.1
Jalen Slawson123.72.31.1
Braden Smith123.40.62.1

Out: Johnny Furphy, Tyrese Haliburton, Ben Sheppard

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.