ClosingLine
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NBA games

Oklahoma City Thunder at LA Clippers

OKC ThunderRested
60%
LAC ClippersRested
40%

Thunder win 6,030 of 10,000 sims. Market: 71%.

Spread
OKC −3.6mkt OKC −7.5
LAC covers
60%
Total
222.6mkt 222.5
Over 222.5
52%
Median score
114–110

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Thunder win60¢71¢72¢
Clippers win40¢29¢29¢

How the 10,000 games ended

13%20+9%15–1912%10–1414%5–912%1–414%1–410%5–97%10–144%15–194%20+
← OKC wins byLAC wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander3328.83.95.5
Jared McCain2713.23.52.0
Isaiah Hartenstein268.510.33.6
Aday Mara239.16.71.5
Kenrich Williams217.64.31.6
Bennett Stirtz208.61.31.3
Alex Caruso207.04.22.6
Ajay MitchellDay-To-Day1710.32.12.2
Nikola Topic165.21.94.4
Micah Peavy163.82.30.7
Josh Dix111.70.80.2
Nique Clifford93.71.31.1

Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams

Clippers

LA Clippers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Darius Garland3319.42.16.5
Rui Hachimura2914.75.11.4
Derrick Jones Jr.2910.15.11.4
Kris Dunn287.54.04.0
Kobe Sanders2511.32.82.4
Brook Lopez2412.75.41.1
Keaton Wagler2311.83.43.3
Isaiah Jackson208.85.91.8
Gradey Dick167.62.70.7
Baba Miller104.52.61.0
Max Strus51.90.90.5

Out: Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller, Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.