Trail Blazers win 8,443 of 10,000 sims. Market: 79%.
Spread
POR −14.7mkt POR −10.5
SAC covers
39%
Total
230.9mkt 229.5
Over 229.5
53%
Median score
123–108
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Trail Blazers win
84¢
79¢
81¢
Kings win
16¢
21¢
20¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← POR wins bySAC wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Deni Avdija
34
24.6
5.8
6.6
Toumani Camara
30
14.0
3.4
1.8
Damian Lillard
30
20.3
3.3
4.3
Jrue Holiday
27
13.5
4.0
4.3
Donovan Clingan
27
12.2
11.0
1.7
Sidy Cissoko
24
8.3
3.5
2.0
Scoot Henderson
23
9.4
2.0
1.8
Robert Williams III
17
6.9
6.8
0.9
Yang Hansen
6
2.8
2.0
0.2
Jayson Kent
6
2.1
1.0
0.1
John Tonje
6
2.6
0.8
0.3
Branden Carlson
6
3.0
1.9
0.4
Out: Vit Krejci, Ja Morant, Shaedon Sharpe, Chris Youngblood
Kings
Sacramento Kings: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Darius Acuff Jr.
39
27.6
4.0
7.7
Domantas Sabonis
35
16.2
13.8
6.2
De'Andre Hunter
34
15.2
4.3
1.3
Zach LaVine
34
23.1
3.6
2.6
Emanuel Sharp
19
4.9
1.5
0.7
Malik Monk
16
8.6
1.2
3.2
Leaky Black
15
3.5
2.6
1.0
Mason Plumlee
9
1.5
3.0
1.2
Daeqwon Plowden
8
2.9
0.8
0.5
Jonathan Mogbo
7
1.6
1.5
0.7
Dylan Cardwell
6
1.7
2.2
0.5
Keegan Murray
6
2.5
0.8
0.3
Out: Precious Achiuwa, Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.