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NBA games

Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets

UTAH JazzRested
6%
HOU RocketsRested
94%

Rockets win 9,395 of 10,000 sims. Market: 89%.

Spread
HOU −21.9mkt HOU −15.5
HOU covers
67%
Total
228.6mkt 220.5
Over 220.5
68%
Median score
103–125

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Jazz win6¢11¢10¢
Rockets win94¢89¢91¢

How the 10,000 games ended

20+15–1910–142%5–93%1–47%1–49%5–911%10–1413%15–1954%20+
← UTAH wins byHOU wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Jazz

Utah Jazz: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Keyonte George3321.74.16.0
Ace Bailey3214.56.61.9
Darryn Peterson3216.64.14.0
Jaxson Hayes2510.65.71.5
Josh Green193.71.81.0
Josh Okogie183.73.51.3
Svi Mykhailiuk165.71.81.1
Isaiah Collier168.03.13.8
Brice Sensabaugh159.62.61.5
Mo Bamba134.84.60.4
Kobe Bufkin62.30.60.5
Harrison Ingram62.60.70.2

Out: Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic

Rockets

Houston Rockets: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jabari Smith Jr.3617.06.41.9
Alperen Sengun3520.79.57.6
Kevin Durant3422.06.03.8
Amen Thompson3316.86.73.6
Fred VanVleet3013.73.05.6
Tari Eason249.75.71.3
Marcus SmartSuspension196.11.92.4
Reed Sheppard199.91.82.4
Bogdan Bogdanovic104.61.10.7

Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.