ClosingLine
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NBA games

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves

CHI BullsBack-to-back
3%
MIN TimberwolvesRested
97%

Timberwolves win 9,695 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
MIN −25.9mkt –
MIN covers
–
Total
237.7mkt –
Over
–
Median score
106–132

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Bulls win3¢–12¢
Timberwolves win97¢–89¢

How the 10,000 games ended

20+15–1910–141%5–91%1–44%1–47%5–99%10–1412%15–1965%20+
← CHI wins byMIN wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Bulls

Chicago Bulls: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Josh Giddey3312.26.59.8
Matas Buzelis3116.66.22.6
Jalen Smith2814.77.71.8
Isaac Okoro237.11.91.8
Tre Jones2214.93.03.7
Norman PowellDay-To-Day2013.21.81.2
Noa Essengue166.13.90.7
Leonard Miller156.83.50.9
Jordan Hawkins115.61.40.8
Buddy Hield115.61.51.2
Zach Collins73.52.30.7
Nic Claxton72.81.90.8

Out: Tobe Awaka, Caleb Wilson

Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jaden McDaniels3317.85.93.2
Ayo Dosunmu3218.24.43.5
Jonathan Kuminga3013.25.82.8
Rudy Gobert297.511.21.4
LaMelo Ball2819.93.76.2
Terrence Shannon Jr.2112.52.62.6
Trey Lyles196.24.10.9
Joan Beringer177.36.10.7
Jaylen Clark154.71.91.0
Bones Hyland1410.01.72.9
Zyon Pullin21.10.20.4

Out: Donte DiVincenzo, Anthony Edwards

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.