Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Mavericks win
44¢
–
43¢
Cavaliers win
56¢
–
59¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← DAL wins byCLE wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Cooper Flagg
34
24.7
7.5
6.1
P.J. Washington
31
13.9
7.4
0.9
Kyrie Irving
31
21.9
3.2
4.4
Zaccharie Risacher
23
7.9
5.1
1.5
Naji Marshall
22
10.4
2.8
3.4
Daniel Gafford
21
8.8
5.3
1.6
Caleb Martin
19
4.3
2.5
1.2
Walter Clayton Jr.
17
8.1
2.5
3.8
Marcus Sasser
11
3.8
0.9
1.3
Morez Johnson Jr.Day-To-Day
10
4.2
2.9
0.7
Max ChristieDay-To-Day
10
3.6
1.3
0.6
Santi Aldama
6
2.9
1.5
0.5
Out: Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II
Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Donovan Mitchell
34
25.4
5.5
5.5
James Harden
34
18.8
4.5
5.8
Peyton Watson
29
13.0
5.4
3.3
Jarrett Allen
26
14.9
9.0
1.2
Jaylon Tyson
22
10.0
3.6
2.5
Meleek Thomas
22
12.3
2.6
1.1
Mario Hezonja
20
8.1
5.6
1.6
Tyrese Proctor
19
8.6
3.2
2.7
Craig Porter Jr.
8
1.8
1.6
1.2
Thomas Bryant
8
4.2
2.2
0.2
Riley Minix
6
3.1
1.0
0.3
Norchad Omier
6
2.8
2.0
0.8
Out: Sam Merrill, Evan Mobley
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.