Sat Nov 14, 7:00 PM EST

Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans

DEN NuggetsRested

82%

NO PelicansBack-to-back

18%

Nuggets win 8,217 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread

DEN −13.0mkt –

NO covers

–

Total

239.8mkt –

Over

–

Median score

127–113

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Nuggets

Denver Nuggets: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Nikola Jokic	36	24.7	11.6	9.5
Jamal Murray	36	24.6	4.7	6.0
Christian Braun	34	13.1	4.4	2.3
Cameron Johnson	29	12.9	3.9	2.4
Aaron Gordon	29	11.5	4.9	2.5
DeMar DeRozan	23	12.3	2.1	3.3
Trevon Brazile	19	6.8	5.4	0.5
Marvin Bagley III	12	7.3	3.4	0.7
Tyus Jones	11	2.7	1.1	1.9
Bryce Hopkins	9	3.4	1.3	0.3
Alpha Diallo	3	0.3	0.2	0.2

Out: Julian Strawther

Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists

Player	Min	Pts	Reb	Ast
Zion Williamson	38	24.6	6.1	3.3
Jeremiah Fears	35	21.8	5.3	5.6
Saddiq Bey	32	18.9	4.0	2.5
Herbert Jones	27	7.2	3.7	1.5
Derik Queen	24	14.1	7.8	2.8
Karlo Matkovic	22	9.3	4.8	1.2
Jordan Poole	16	7.4	1.6	2.2
Bennedict MathurinDay-To-Day	11	4.4	1.6	1.2
Malik Dia	7	0.0	0.0	0.0
AJ Johnson	7	2.9	0.7	0.8
DeAndre Jordan	7	1.9	2.7	0.4
Jaron Pierre Jr.	7	4.0	4.0	0.0

Out: Bryce McGowens, Yves Missi, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Trendon Watford

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.