Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Pistons win
68¢
–
64¢
Heat win
32¢
–
38¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← DET wins byMIA wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Pistons
Detroit Pistons: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Cade Cunningham
35
24.0
5.6
9.0
Duncan Robinson
33
18.8
2.1
2.3
Ausar Thompson
30
10.8
7.8
5.2
Daniss Jenkins
29
13.4
4.0
4.9
Paul Reed
28
13.5
8.2
2.3
John Collins
26
11.0
6.4
0.8
Kevin Huerter
24
9.8
2.7
2.8
Javonte Green
17
6.8
2.7
0.6
Ronald Holland II
15
5.7
3.2
1.5
Elijah Harkless
4
1.3
0.4
0.5
Out: Jalen Duren, Isaiah Joe
Heat
Miami Heat: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Davion Mitchell
37
16.8
2.3
8.6
Bam Adebayo
34
18.5
9.0
3.9
Giannis Antetokounmpo
34
29.7
12.4
5.6
Andrew Wiggins
26
9.4
2.8
1.7
Bobby Portis
20
8.8
5.8
1.7
Pelle LarssonDay-To-Day
18
7.5
2.2
2.2
Klay ThompsonDay-To-Day
16
9.5
1.0
1.3
Ryan Conwell
13
4.3
1.2
1.2
Tim Hardaway Jr.
12
4.1
1.2
0.6
Nikola Jovic
7
1.7
1.1
0.5
Tre Donaldson
6
0.0
0.0
0.0
Keshad Johnson
6
3.6
1.2
0.3
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.
Pistons
Heat
