Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Hawks win
70¢
–
75¢
Bucks win
30¢
–
27¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← ATL wins byMIL wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Hawks
Atlanta Hawks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Jalen Johnson
34
19.0
9.8
6.5
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
31
22.2
3.0
2.4
Dyson Daniels
31
10.2
7.5
5.9
Onyeka Okongwu
30
13.0
7.6
2.4
Aaron Wiggins
26
13.8
3.5
2.6
CJ McCollum
25
14.0
2.9
3.9
Luguentz Dort
25
9.0
3.1
1.6
Jock Landale
14
5.7
3.6
1.7
Kingston FlemingsDay-To-Day
14
5.2
1.6
2.7
Zuby Ejiofor
8
3.6
2.2
1.0
RayJ Dennis
2
0.6
0.3
0.3
Out: Keshon Gilbert, Mouhamed Gueye, Asa Newell, Henri Veesaar
Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Tyler Herro
31
19.8
4.7
5.1
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
28
16.8
4.9
3.3
Myles Turner
27
8.2
5.8
2.4
Kyle Kuzma
27
10.7
5.2
3.1
Cormac Ryan
25
14.3
2.5
1.7
Brayden Burries
23
10.4
5.6
2.3
Ryan Rollins
23
11.9
4.1
4.0
Kel'el Ware
18
8.7
6.2
0.9
AJ Green
17
7.8
1.8
1.2
Kam Jones
17
4.4
1.7
4.2
Nate Ament
6
2.3
0.8
0.2
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.