ClosingLine
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NBA games

Charlotte Hornets at LA Clippers

CHA HornetsRested
28%
LAC ClippersRested
72%

Clippers win 7,217 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
LAC −8.1mkt –
LAC covers
–
Total
219.7mkt –
Over
–
Median score
106–114

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Hornets win28¢–42¢
Clippers win72¢–60¢

How the 10,000 games ended

3%20+3%15–195%10–149%5–99%1–415%1–414%5–914%10–1411%15–1919%20+
← CHA wins byLAC wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Hornets

Charlotte Hornets: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Naz Reid3017.28.12.1
Moussa Diabate297.89.22.4
Grayson Allen2814.73.53.2
Sion James276.03.92.8
Royce O'Neale206.33.50.8
Ryan Kalkbrenner194.95.31.4
Coby White1814.02.62.6
Brandon MillerDay-To-Day1811.42.61.2
Tidjane Salaun155.83.10.1
Christian Anderson134.11.41.7
Hannes Steinbach71.52.30.2
Michael Ajayi60.00.00.0

Out: Kon Knueppel, Dennis Schroder

Clippers

LA Clippers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Darius Garland3319.42.16.5
Rui Hachimura2914.75.11.4
Derrick Jones Jr.2910.15.11.4
Kris Dunn287.54.04.0
Kobe Sanders2511.32.82.4
Brook Lopez2412.75.41.1
Keaton Wagler2311.83.43.3
Isaiah Jackson208.85.91.8
Gradey Dick167.62.70.7
Baba Miller104.52.61.0
Max Strus51.90.90.5

Out: Bradley Beal, Brandon Ingram, Jordan Miller, Yanic Konan Niederhauser

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.