ClosingLine
  • Type a player or team. Press / to open search from any page.
NBA games

Dallas Mavericks at Boston Celtics

DAL MavericksBack-to-back
25%
BOS CelticsRested
75%

Celtics win 7,508 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
BOS −9.5mkt –
BOS covers
–
Total
223.4mkt –
Over
–
Median score
107–117

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Mavericks win25¢–17¢
Celtics win75¢–84¢

How the 10,000 games ended

2%20+3%15–195%10–147%5–98%1–414%1–414%5–913%10–1411%15–1922%20+
← DAL wins byBOS wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Mavericks

Dallas Mavericks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Cooper Flagg3424.77.56.1
P.J. Washington3113.97.40.9
Kyrie Irving3121.93.24.4
Zaccharie Risacher237.95.11.5
Naji Marshall2210.42.83.4
Daniel Gafford218.85.31.6
Caleb Martin194.32.51.2
Walter Clayton Jr.178.12.53.8
Marcus Sasser113.80.91.3
Morez Johnson Jr.Day-To-Day104.22.90.7
Max ChristieDay-To-Day103.61.30.6
Santi Aldama62.91.50.5

Out: Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II

Celtics

Boston Celtics: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jayson Tatum3424.87.17.2
Derrick White3012.12.84.8
Payton Pritchard2714.03.24.1
Neemias Queta239.67.42.0
Baylor Scheierman218.23.81.6
Sam Hauser218.53.61.5
Devin Carter189.63.42.7
Paul GeorgeDay-To-Day1811.93.02.1
Mitchell Robinson176.25.90.6
Jordan Walsh164.53.20.8
Hugo Gonzalez134.22.10.6
Luka Garza10.50.30.1

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.