Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Mavericks win
25¢
–
17¢
Celtics win
75¢
–
84¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← DAL wins byBOS wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Cooper Flagg
34
24.7
7.5
6.1
P.J. Washington
31
13.9
7.4
0.9
Kyrie Irving
31
21.9
3.2
4.4
Zaccharie Risacher
23
7.9
5.1
1.5
Naji Marshall
22
10.4
2.8
3.4
Daniel Gafford
21
8.8
5.3
1.6
Caleb Martin
19
4.3
2.5
1.2
Walter Clayton Jr.
17
8.1
2.5
3.8
Marcus Sasser
11
3.8
0.9
1.3
Morez Johnson Jr.Day-To-Day
10
4.2
2.9
0.7
Max ChristieDay-To-Day
10
3.6
1.3
0.6
Santi Aldama
6
2.9
1.5
0.5
Out: Tarik Biberovic, Sergio de Larrea, Dereck Lively II
Celtics
Boston Celtics: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Jayson Tatum
34
24.8
7.1
7.2
Derrick White
30
12.1
2.8
4.8
Payton Pritchard
27
14.0
3.2
4.1
Neemias Queta
23
9.6
7.4
2.0
Baylor Scheierman
21
8.2
3.8
1.6
Sam Hauser
21
8.5
3.6
1.5
Devin Carter
18
9.6
3.4
2.7
Paul GeorgeDay-To-Day
18
11.9
3.0
2.1
Mitchell Robinson
17
6.2
5.9
0.6
Jordan Walsh
16
4.5
3.2
0.8
Hugo Gonzalez
13
4.2
2.1
0.6
Luka Garza
1
0.5
0.3
0.1
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.