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NBA games

Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards

HOU RocketsRested
82%
WSH WizardsRested
18%

Rockets win 8,171 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
HOU −13.0mkt –
WSH covers
–
Total
227.6mkt –
Over
–
Median score
120–107

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Rockets win82¢–82¢
Wizards win18¢–19¢

How the 10,000 games ended

32%20+14%15–1914%10–1413%5–99%1–48%1–45%5–93%10–141%15–191%20+
← HOU wins byWSH wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Rockets

Houston Rockets: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jabari Smith Jr.3617.06.41.9
Alperen Sengun3520.79.57.6
Kevin Durant3422.06.03.8
Amen Thompson3316.86.73.6
Fred VanVleet3013.73.05.6
Tari Eason249.75.71.3
Marcus SmartSuspension196.11.92.4
Reed Sheppard199.91.82.4
Bogdan Bogdanovic104.61.10.7

Out: Steven Adams, Clint Capela

Wizards

Washington Wizards: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Trae Young3620.33.28.8
Anthony Davis3523.910.72.2
AJ Dybantsa3515.46.32.4
Kyshawn George3419.14.44.7
Alex Sarr2811.37.62.4
Bilal Coulibaly269.24.11.1
Tre Johnson239.62.51.4
Deandre Ayton135.14.30.6
Bub CarringtonDay-To-Day103.70.81.3

Out: Reece Beekman, Justin Champagnie, Tristan Vukcevic, Jamir Watkins

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.