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NBA games

Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns

LAL LakersRested
54%
PHX SunsRested
46%

Lakers win 5,367 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
LAL −1.4mkt –
PHX covers
–
Total
228.9mkt –
Over
–
Median score
116–114

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Lakers win54¢–65¢
Suns win46¢–35¢

How the 10,000 games ended

10%20+8%15–1911%10–1413%5–911%1–415%1–411%5–98%10–146%15–196%20+
← LAL wins byPHX wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Walker Kessler3114.111.11.9
Jake LaRavia255.74.12.2
Matisse Thybulle247.31.91.1
Sandro Mamukelashvili2411.44.71.8
Ziaire Williams2411.82.41.8
Luka DoncicDay-To-Day2222.84.34.6
Austin ReavesDay-To-Day2114.22.22.9
Quentin GrimesDay-To-Day165.61.61.4
Collin SextonDay-To-Day116.41.11.4
Jarred Vanderbilt92.02.61.0
Carson Cooper62.04.02.0
Arthur Kaluma60.00.00.0

Suns

Phoenix Suns: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Devin Booker3426.02.95.3
Dillon Brooks3015.13.72.0
Miles Bridges2914.17.13.3
Jalen Green2712.83.23.0
Collin Gillespie247.62.73.6
Oso Ighodaro236.35.83.1
Khaman Maluach197.66.61.0
Jordan Goodwin197.94.02.0
Ryan Dunn185.24.21.4
Luke Kennard178.21.92.8
Rasheer Fleming10.40.20.0

Out: Mark Williams

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.