ClosingLine
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NBA games

New York Knicks at Toronto Raptors

NY KnicksRested
58%
TOR RaptorsRested
42%

Knicks win 5,799 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
NY −3.1mkt –
TOR covers
–
Total
220.5mkt –
Over
–
Median score
112–109

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Knicks win58¢–65¢
Raptors win42¢–36¢

How the 10,000 games ended

13%20+9%15–1911%10–1414%5–911%1–415%1–411%5–97%10–144%15–195%20+
← NY wins byTOR wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Knicks

New York Knicks: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Jalen Brunson3325.42.86.0
OG Anunoby3316.95.52.2
Karl-Anthony Towns3120.813.14.4
Josh Hart319.16.23.5
Landry Shamet269.11.61.9
Mikal Bridges236.92.72.1
Miles McBride198.41.61.3
Andre Drummond144.57.61.4
Tyler Kolek113.91.43.7
Jordan Clarkson94.61.50.7
Mohamed Diawara82.40.90.9
Jose Alvarado20.60.20.3

Raptors

Toronto Raptors: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
RJ Barrett3421.96.63.8
Immanuel Quickley3116.03.85.7
Ja'Kobe Walter3111.73.91.9
Jakob Poeltl259.86.11.5
Jamal Shead257.01.96.2
Collin Murray-Boyles2410.95.22.0
Jamison Battle2110.21.60.6
Allen Graves144.62.60.7
Alijah Martin136.11.71.2
Kyle Anderson61.71.11.2
Malachi Smith62.20.80.8
Trayce Jackson-DavisDay-To-Day41.71.30.2

Out: Scottie Barnes, Nate Bittle, Kawhi Leonard

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.