Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Thunder win
79¢
–
85¢
Kings win
21¢
–
16¢
How the 10,000 games ended
← OKC wins bySAC wins by →
Who plays, and how much
Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out
Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
33
28.8
3.9
5.5
Jared McCain
27
13.2
3.5
2.0
Isaiah Hartenstein
26
8.5
10.3
3.6
Aday Mara
23
9.1
6.7
1.5
Kenrich Williams
21
7.6
4.3
1.6
Bennett Stirtz
20
8.6
1.3
1.3
Alex Caruso
20
7.0
4.2
2.6
Ajay MitchellDay-To-Day
17
10.3
2.1
2.2
Nikola Topic
16
5.2
1.9
4.4
Micah Peavy
16
3.8
2.3
0.7
Josh Dix
11
1.7
0.8
0.2
Nique Clifford
9
3.7
1.3
1.1
Out: Chet Holmgren, Thomas Sorber, Cason Wallace, Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams
Kings
Sacramento Kings: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
Player
Min
Pts
Reb
Ast
Darius Acuff Jr.
39
27.6
4.0
7.7
Domantas Sabonis
35
16.2
13.8
6.2
De'Andre Hunter
34
15.2
4.3
1.3
Zach LaVine
34
23.1
3.6
2.6
Emanuel Sharp
19
4.9
1.5
0.7
Malik Monk
16
8.6
1.2
3.2
Leaky Black
15
3.5
2.6
1.0
Mason Plumlee
9
1.5
3.0
1.2
Daeqwon Plowden
8
2.9
0.8
0.5
Jonathan Mogbo
7
1.6
1.5
0.7
Dylan Cardwell
6
1.7
2.2
0.5
Keegan Murray
6
2.5
0.8
0.3
Out: Precious Achiuwa, Maxime Raynaud, Ben Simmons
Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.