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NBA games

San Antonio Spurs at Utah Jazz

SA SpursRested
89%
UTAH JazzRested
11%

Spurs win 8,923 of 10,000 sims. Market: –.

Spread
SA −17.8mkt –
UTAH covers
–
Total
233.4mkt –
Over
–
Median score
126–108

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Spurs win89¢–91¢
Jazz win11¢–11¢

How the 10,000 games ended

45%20+15%15–1913%10–1410%5–96%1–46%1–43%5–91%10–1415–1920+
← SA wins byUTAH wins by →

Who plays, and how much

Projected minutes and stats, before the starting lineups are out

Spurs

San Antonio Spurs: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Dylan Harper3217.35.44.8
Victor Wembanyama3030.311.73.1
Stephon Castle2914.06.05.9
Julian Champagnie269.73.91.5
Keldon Johnson2510.26.02.1
Devin VassellDay-To-Day187.12.31.6
De'Aaron FoxDay-To-Day189.22.53.7
Luke Kornet153.84.01.2
Harrison Barnes135.20.80.3
Carter Bryant104.31.20.9
Maliq Brown60.00.06.0
Ja'Kobi Gillespie67.50.00.0

Out: Tobias Harris, Jayden Quaintance

Jazz

Utah Jazz: projected minutes, points, rebounds and assists
PlayerMinPtsRebAst
Keyonte George3321.74.16.0
Ace Bailey3214.56.61.9
Darryn Peterson3216.64.14.0
Jaxson Hayes2510.65.71.5
Josh Green193.71.81.0
Josh Okogie183.73.51.3
Svi Mykhailiuk165.71.81.1
Isaiah Collier168.03.13.8
Brice Sensabaugh159.62.61.5
Mo Bamba134.84.60.4
Kobe Bufkin62.30.60.5
Harrison Ingram62.60.70.2

Out: Trey Alexander, Jaren Jackson Jr., Lauri Markkanen, Jusuf Nurkic

Each player has a rating (points per 48 minutes his teams gained or lost with him on the floor, anchored to his box-score production) and projected minutes from his recent games. Players listed out on the injury report are removed and their minutes go to teammates; day-to-day players keep part of theirs. Home court and the second night of a back-to-back are counted. Then the game is played 10,000 times.