Stars win 5,631 of 10,000 sims. Market: 56%. Overtime or a shootout in 19%.
DAL −1.5
36%
BUF +1.5
64%
Total
6.0mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
42%
Expected shots
24–26
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Sabres win
44¢
44¢
42¢
Stars win
56¢
56¢
58¢
How the 10,000 games ended
Median score 3–3
← BUF wins by moreDAL wins by more →
Goalies
Sabres: projected
U. Luukkonenexpected save rate 88.3%
Stars: projected
J. Oettingerexpected save rate 88.6%
Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.
