ClosingLine
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NHL games

Flames at Kings

CGY FlamesD. Cooley Projected
45%
LAK KingsD. Kuemper Projected
55%

Kings win 5,490 of 10,000 sims. Market: 61%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

LAK −1.5
36%
CGY +1.5
64%
Total
6.5mkt 5.5
Over 5.5
61%
Expected shots
26–30

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Flames win45¢39¢38¢
Kings win55¢61¢62¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+2%−54%−48%−313%−218%−1019%+115%+211%+36%+42%+52%+6+
← CGY wins by moreLAK wins by more →

Goalies

Flames: projected
D. Cooleyexpected save rate 88.9%
Kings: projected
D. Kuemperexpected save rate 88.3%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.