ClosingLine
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NHL games

Avalanche at Canadiens

COL AvalancheM. Blackwood Projected
51%
MTL CanadiensJ. Fowler Projected
49%

Avalanche win 5,065 of 10,000 sims. Market: 48%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

MTL +1.5
68%
COL −1.5
32%
Total
6.7mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
52%
Expected shots
29–28

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Avalanche win51¢48¢49¢
Canadiens win49¢52¢52¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
2%−6+2%−54%−410%−314%−219%−1018%+114%+29%+35%+42%+52%+6+
← COL wins by moreMTL wins by more →

Goalies

Avalanche: projected
M. Blackwoodexpected save rate 88.9%
Canadiens: projected
J. Fowlerexpected save rate 89.3%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.