Oilers win 5,004 of 10,000 sims. Market: 58%. Overtime or a shootout in 17%.
TOR +1.5
68%
EDM −1.5
32%
Total
6.8mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
53%
Expected shots
26–28
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Oilers win
50¢
58¢
59¢
Maple Leafs win
50¢
42¢
42¢
How the 10,000 games ended
Median score 3–3
← EDM wins by moreTOR wins by more →
Goalies
Oilers: projected
T. Jarryexpected save rate 88.8%
Maple Leafs: projected
S. Bobrovskyexpected save rate 88.4%
Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.
