ClosingLine
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NHL games

Panthers at Blues

FLA PanthersA. Schmid Projected
50%
STL BluesJ. Hofer Projected
50%

Panthers win 5,012 of 10,000 sims. Market: 51%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

STL +1.5
68%
FLA −1.5
32%
Total
6.5mkt 5.5
Over 5.5
61%
Expected shots
29–27

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Panthers win50¢51¢52¢
Blues win50¢49¢50¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+2%−55%−410%−314%−218%−1019%+114%+210%+34%+42%+51%+6+
← FLA wins by moreSTL wins by more →

Goalies

Panthers: projected
A. Schmidexpected save rate 88.5%
Blues: projected
J. Hoferexpected save rate 89.4%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.