ClosingLine
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NHL games

Wild at Bruins

MIN WildJ. Wallstedt Projected
54%
BOS BruinsJ. Swayman Projected
46%

Wild win 5,352 of 10,000 sims. Market: 53%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

BOS +1.5
66%
MIN −1.5
34%
Total
6.2mkt 5.5
Over 5.5
57%
Expected shots
28–26

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Wild win54¢53¢52¢
Bruins win46¢47¢48¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+2%−55%−410%−316%−219%−1017%+114%+29%+34%+42%+51%+6+
← MIN wins by moreBOS wins by more →

Goalies

Wild: projected
J. Wallstedtexpected save rate 89.5%
Bruins: projected
J. Swaymanexpected save rate 89.1%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.