ClosingLine
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NHL games

Devils at Capitals

NJD DevilsC. Hellebuyck Projected
57%
WSH CapitalsL. Thompson Projected
43%

Devils win 5,695 of 10,000 sims. Market: 52%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

WSH +1.5
62%
NJD −1.5
38%
Total
6.7mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
52%
Expected shots
30–26

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Devils win57¢52¢52¢
Capitals win43¢48¢49¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
3%−6+3%−55%−411%−315%−219%−1017%+112%+28%+33%+42%+51%+6+
← NJD wins by moreWSH wins by more →

Goalies

Devils: projected
C. Hellebuyckexpected save rate 88.8%
Capitals: projected
L. Thompsonexpected save rate 88.6%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.