Ducks win 5,229 of 10,000 sims. Market: 51%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.
ANA −1.5
33%
NYI +1.5
67%
Total
6.4mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
47%
Expected shots
25–27
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Islanders win
48¢
49¢
48¢
Ducks win
52¢
51¢
53¢
How the 10,000 games ended
Median score 3–3
← NYI wins by moreANA wins by more →
Goalies
Islanders: projected
I. Sorokinexpected save rate 89.1%
Ducks: projected
L. Brossoitexpected save rate 88.4%
Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.
