Penguins win 5,168 of 10,000 sims. Market: 46%. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.
PIT −1.5
33%
OTT +1.5
67%
Total
6.4mkt 6.5
Over 6.5
47%
Expected shots
25–27
Prices
Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
Contract
Sims
Book
Kalshi
Senators win
48¢
54¢
54¢
Penguins win
52¢
46¢
47¢
How the 10,000 games ended
Median score 3–3
← OTT wins by morePIT wins by more →
Goalies
Senators: projected
S. Erssonexpected save rate 88.5%
Penguins: projected
A. Silovsexpected save rate 88.3%
Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.
