ClosingLine
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NHL games

Flames at Ducks

CGY FlamesD. Wolf Projected
43%
ANA DucksL. Dostal Projected
57%

Ducks win 5,672 of 10,000 sims. Market: –. Overtime or a shootout in 17%.

ANA −1.5
38%
CGY +1.5
62%
Total
6.7mkt –
Over
–
Expected shots
26–28

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Flames win43¢–41¢
Ducks win57¢–60¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+1%−53%−48%−313%−217%−1018%+115%+211%+36%+43%+53%+6+
← CGY wins by moreANA wins by more →

Goalies

Flames: projected
D. Wolfexpected save rate 88.4%
Ducks: projected
L. Dostalexpected save rate 88.3%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.