ClosingLine
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NHL games

Oilers at Flyers

EDM OilersD. Levi Projected
51%
PHI FlyersJ. Woll Projected
49%

Oilers win 5,070 of 10,000 sims. Market: –. Overtime or a shootout in 18%.

PHI +1.5
68%
EDM −1.5
32%
Total
6.0mkt –
Over
–
Expected shots
24–26

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Oilers win51¢–58¢
Flyers win49¢–43¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+2%−54%−49%−315%−219%−1019%+114%+29%+34%+42%+51%+6+
← EDM wins by morePHI wins by more →

Goalies

Oilers: projected
D. Leviexpected save rate 88.7%
Flyers: projected
J. Wollexpected save rate 88.8%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.