ClosingLine
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NHL games

Panthers at Stars

FLA PanthersJ. Markstrom Projected
50%
DAL StarsC. DeSmith Projected
50%

Panthers win 5,008 of 10,000 sims. Market: –. Overtime or a shootout in 19%.

DAL +1.5
69%
FLA −1.5
31%
Total
6.1mkt –
Over
–
Expected shots
25–25

Prices

Price to buy, cents
Sims price, sportsbook and Kalshi for each team to win
ContractSimsBookKalshi
Panthers win50¢–44¢
Stars win50¢–56¢

How the 10,000 games ended

Median score 3–3
1%−6+2%−54%−410%−314%−219%−1019%+115%+29%+34%+42%+51%+6+
← FLA wins by moreDAL wins by more →

Goalies

Panthers: projected
J. Markstromexpected save rate 88.7%
Stars: projected
C. DeSmithexpected save rate 88.6%

Each team's shots come from its offense against the other team's defense, then finishing and the opposing goalie turn shots into goals; 10,000 games are played out with late empty-net goals, overtime and shootouts. The starting goalie is the biggest single input: projected from who has been starting (the backup on the second night of a back-to-back) until the league confirms it at warmups.