NHL games
How accurate is it? (NHL)
Last season replayed game by game with only what was known before each night, then this season as published before puck drop. The benchmark is the betting favorite.
2025–26, replayed
Picked the winner56%1,312 games
With a betting line56%Betting favorite: 56% · 936 games
Misses the total by1.8 goalsAverage, every game
2026–27 season, live
175 games graded so far. Sims picked 105; the betting favorite 109 of 175 with a line.
| Game | Final | Sims, home win prob. | Market | Winner: sims · mkt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · Islanders at Kings | 5–2 | 55% | 53% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Blues at Mammoth | 1–0 | 55% | 46% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Sabres at Blackhawks | 2–3 | 41% | 42% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Jets at Stars | 8–3 | 55% | 59% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Red Wings at Panthers | 4–5 | 55% | 60% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Wild at Maple Leafs | 5–2 | 41% | 40% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Lightning at Blue Jackets | 3–1 | 43% | 49% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Capitals at Devils | 2–5 | 62% | 59% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Canadiens at Bruins | 5–2 | 53% | 53% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Avalanche at Senators | 3–4 | 45% | 50% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Hurricanes at Kraken | 4–1 | 31% | 28% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Predators at Ducks | 4–2 | 52% | 56% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Penguins at Sharks | 3–2 | 47% | 43% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Mammoth at Golden Knights | 3–5 | 50% | 53% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Flyers at Oilers | 2–3 | 58% | 63% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Rangers at Flames | 3–1 | 47% | 44% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Lightning at Sabres | 8–3 | 44% | 46% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Predators at Kings | 3–0 | 52% | 54% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Red Wings at Blues | 2–3 | 52% | 56% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Panthers at Blue Jackets | 4–1 | 46% | 47% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Wild at Canadiens | 2–1 | 47% | 47% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Avalanche at Maple Leafs | 6–3 | 42% | 39% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Devils at Jets | 2–4 | 39% | 44% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Capitals at Senators | 3–2 | 47% | 50% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Islanders at Sharks | 2–3 | 48% | 44% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Flyers at Canucks | 3–1 | 45% | 45% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Rangers at Oilers | 1–3 | 54% | 59% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Penguins at Ducks | 2–5 | 51% | 52% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Flyers at Flames | 3–4 | 51% | 48% | ✓ · ✗ |
| · Devils at Maple Leafs | 4–0 | 38% | 41% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Lightning at Jets | 3–4 | 41% | 42% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Golden Knights at Sabres | 4–1 | 49% | 50% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Panthers at Bruins | 1–4 | 50% | 56% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Canucks at Oilers | 2–4 | 65% | 76% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Penguins at Kings | 5–2 | 51% | 53% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Red Wings at Avalanche | 0–4 | 56% | 66% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Lightning at Wild | 4–3 | 49% | 45% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Blackhawks at Hurricanes | 2–9 | 75% | 78% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Sharks at Stars | 3–4 | 62% | 71% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Mammoth at Senators | 2–4 | 48% | 48% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Canadiens at Maple Leafs | 4–2 | 48% | 47% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Devils at Islanders | 5–4 | 40% | 43% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Rangers at Kraken | 4–3 | 47% | 45% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Blues at Predators | 1–3 | 49% | 50% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Panthers at Capitals | 3–4 | 49% | 53% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Ducks at Flames | 5–3 | 51% | 57% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Sharks at Wild | 1–4 | 69% | 71% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Blue Jackets at Sabres | 2–5 | 54% | 60% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Predators at Avalanche | 3–2 | 63% | 66% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Ducks at Oilers | 5–4 | 58% | 63% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Bruins at Penguins | 6–2 | 53% | 50% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Hurricanes at Islanders | 5–3 | 37% | 36% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Canucks at Jets | 2–6 | 62% | 66% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Golden Knights at Red Wings | 2–1 | 53% | 44% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Mammoth at Canadiens | 4–5 | 46% | 47% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Blues at Devils | 4–5 | 63% | 66% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Flyers at Rangers | 2–3 | 56% | 57% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Blackhawks at Lightning | 1–4 | 73% | 79% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Stars at Blue Jackets | 1–2 | 47% | 46% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Sharks at Kings | 2–7 | 57% | 60% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Flames at Kraken | 1–2 | 51% | 55% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Senators at Sabres | 2–1 | 52% | 53% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Blackhawks at Panthers | 3–5 | 68% | 69% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Ducks at Canucks | 5–4 | 44% | 37% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Hurricanes at Predators | 1–4 | 35% | 36% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Oilers at Devils | 3–4 | 62% | 59% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Stars at Capitals | 6–5 | 51% | 50% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Avalanche at Blue Jackets | 2–7 | 43% | 47% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Blues at Rangers | 1–3 | 51% | 52% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Wild at Flyers | 4–2 | 36% | 38% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Jets at Canadiens | 5–4 | 59% | 60% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Mammoth at Maple Leafs | 3–2 | 44% | 43% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Red Wings at Lightning | 2–4 | 54% | 71% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Golden Knights at Penguins | 3–2 | 52% | 52% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Flames at Sharks | 2–1 | 47% | 53% | ✓ · ✗ |
| · Avalanche at Blackhawks | 5–2 | 36% | 33% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Red Wings at Panthers | 5–3 | 55% | 62% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Golden Knights at Bruins | 2–3 | 49% | 48% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Senators at Ducks | 3–6 | 49% | 48% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Oilers at Rangers | 4–1 | 49% | 53% | ✓ · ✗ |
| · Mammoth at Flyers | 3–6 | 37% | 41% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Wild at Capitals | 5–1 | 46% | 50% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Jets at Hurricanes | 0–7 | 70% | 71% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Flames at Avalanche | 2–5 | 64% | 76% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Blue Jackets at Stars | 1–3 | 62% | 62% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Maple Leafs at Canucks | 4–2 | 41% | 37% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Penguins at Canadiens | 4–5 | 55% | 53% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Senators at Sharks | 5–1 | 48% | 45% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Sabres at Kings | 3–2 | 50% | 47% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Oilers at Islanders | 4–0 | 53% | 49% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Lightning at Predators | 4–5 | 39% | 40% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Blues at Red Wings | 5–4 | 54% | 48% | ✗ · ✓ |
| · Blackhawks at Bruins | 4–5 | 65% | 68% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Kraken at Flames | 2–6 | 52% | 49% | ✓ · ✗ |
| · Jets at Panthers | 2–5 | 60% | 66% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Devils at Golden Knights | 5–2 | 48% | 51% | ✓ · ✗ |
| · Sabres at Ducks | 7–6 | 44% | 44% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Senators at Kings | 5–6 | 49% | 47% | ✗ · ✗ |
| · Canucks at Sharks | 2–3 | 61% | 61% | ✓ · ✓ |
| · Canadiens at Stars | 5–2 | 58% | 61% | ✗ · ✗ |