Week 5 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
WAS covers NYG coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Northwest Stadium
NYG at WAS
NYG Giants5-3-1Jameis Winston
WAS Commanders3-5-1Jayden Daniels
- Line, published
- WAS −5.0mkt −3.5
- Total
- 41.0mkt 41.5
- WAS covers
- 55%
- Over 41.5
- 48%
- Median score
- 17–23
WAS's listed starter Jayden Daniels didn't start last week (M.Mariota did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYG's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYG covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from NYG's biggest win to WAS's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger WAS wins. Filled dots are sims where WAS covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where NYG covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
WAS covers −3.5 in 55%
Players
NYG GiantsFantasy points, PPR
- Isaiah Likely TE71 rec yds · 6.7 catches · 0.4 TD16.010–21
- Cam Skattebo RB63 rush yds · 19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.5 TD13.08–17
- Jameis Winston QB215 pass yds · 1.1 pass TD · 14 rush yds12.58–16
- Malik Nabers WR51 rec yds · 4.8 catches · 0.3 TD11.57–15
- Dominic Zvada KField goals and extra points6.94–10
- Malachi Fields WR29 rec yds · 2.7 catches · 0.2 TD6.63–9
Giants D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.03–9- Darnell Mooney WR20 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.1 TD4.62–7
- Najee Harris RB22 rush yds · 0.1 TD3.01–4
- Devin Singletary RB7 rush yds · 8 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.81–4
- Theo Johnson TE11 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.1 TD2.60–4
WAS CommandersFantasy points, PPR
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB77 rush yds · 19 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.7 TD15.410–20
- Jayden Daniels QB226 pass yds · 1.4 pass TD · 14 rush yds15.010–19
- Antonio Williams WR50 rec yds · 4.6 catches · 0.3 TD11.56–16
- Terry McLaurin WRQuestionable41 rec yds · 3.8 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims9.53–14
- Rachaad White RB29 rush yds · 21 rec yds · 1.9 catches · 0.3 TD9.15–12
Commanders D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed8.44–12- Drew Stevens KField goals and extra points8.15–11
- Dyami Brown WR33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD7.64–11
- Chig Okonkwo TE18 rec yds · 1.7 catches · 0.1 TD4.22–6
- Treylon Burks WR17 rec yds · 1.5 catches · 0.1 TD3.81–5
- Colson Yankoff TE11 rec yds · 1.0 catches · 0.1 TD2.50–4
- Austin Ekeler RB6 rush yds2.30–3
- John Bates TE9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.10–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | NYG | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | −0.076 | −0.016 |
| Rush offense | −0.012 | −0.012 |
| Pass defense, allowed | −0.003 | +0.011 |
| Rush defense, allowed | +0.005 | −0.009 |
| QB, per dropback | −0.093 | −0.014 |