ClosingLine
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Every week · updated

Week 5, 2026

15 games, each played 10,000 times before kickoff. Finals are graded against the last numbers published before each game.
Model favorites won79%Market favorites 64% · 15 games
Spread leans7–7–150% · break-even 52.4%
Total leans7–847%

Finals

Final ·
  • TB Buccaneers3-6Jalon Daniels24
  • DAL Cowboys4-5Dak Prescott16
Favorite
DAL Lost
Spread
TB +9.5 Won
Total
Under 48.5 Won
Final ·
  • PHI Eagles2-7Jalen Hurts17
  • JAX Jaguars6-2Trevor Lawrence19
Favorite
JAX Won
Spread
PHI +7.5 Won
Total
Over 41.5 Lost
Final ·
  • CHI Bears7-2Tyson Bagent7
  • GB Packers6-3Jordan Love31
Favorite
GB Won
Spread
GB +1.5 Won
Total
Under 47.5 Won
Final ·
  • CIN Bengals6-2Joe Burrow31
  • MIA Dolphins1-7Malik Willis24
Favorite
CIN Won
Spread
MIA +7.0 Push
Total
Over 44.5 Won
Final ·
  • LV Raiders4-5Kirk Cousins17
  • NE Patriots5-4Drake Maye45
Favorite
NE Won
Spread
NE −3.5 Won
Total
Under 45.5 Lost
Final ·
  • MIN Vikings6-2Kyler Murray23
  • NO Saints3-5Tyler Shough13
Favorite
MIN Won
Spread
MIN −1.5 Won
Total
Under 41.5 Won
Final ·
  • CLE Browns5-4Deshaun Watson12
  • NYJ Jets2-7Geno Smith17
Favorite
NYJ Won
Spread
CLE +2.5 Lost
Total
Over 38.5 Lost
Final ·
  • IND Colts2-7Daniel Jones22
  • PIT Steelers6-2Aaron Rodgers34
Favorite
PIT Won
Spread
IND +3.0 Lost
Total
Over 41.5 Won
Final ·
  • HOU Texans3-5C.J. Stroud26
  • TEN Titans1-7Cam Ward3
Favorite
HOU Won
Spread
TEN +6.5 Lost
Total
Over 37.5 Lost
Final ·
  • NYG Giants5-3-1Jameis Winston27
  • WAS Commanders3-5-1Jayden Daniels27
Favorite
WAS Push
Spread
WAS −3.5 Lost
Total
Under 41.5 Lost
Final ·
  • DEN Broncos7-2Bo Nix23
  • LAC Chargers0-8Justin Herbert17
Favorite
DEN Won
Spread
LAC +3.5 Lost
Total
Under 42.5 Won
Final ·
  • DET Lions6-2Jared Goff45
  • ARI Cardinals3-6Jacoby Brissett21
Favorite
DET Won
Spread
ARI +5.5 Lost
Total
Under 55.5 Lost
Final ·
  • SF 49ers7-1Brock Purdy32
  • SEA Seahawks5-4Drew Lock29
Favorite
SF Won
Spread
SF +3.0 Won
Total
Over 46.5 Won
Final ·
  • BAL Ravens4-5Tyler Huntley30
  • ATL Falcons3-6Michael Penix Jr.23
Favorite
ATL Lost
Spread
ATL −3.5 Lost
Total
Under 43.5 Lost
Final ·
  • BUF Bills7-1Josh Allen37
  • LA Rams5-4Matthew Stafford34
Favorite
LA Lost
Spread
BUF +3.5 Won
Total
Under 54.5 Lost