Week 5 games
How the 10,000 sims landed
SEA covers SF coversEach dot is 100 of the 10,000 sims.
· Lumen Field
SF at SEA
SF 49ers7-1Brock Purdy
SEA Seahawks5-4Drew Lock
- Line, published
- SEA +3.0mkt −3.0
- Total
- 47.0mkt 46.5
- SEA covers
- 34%
- Over 46.5
- 51%
- Median score
- 24–22
SEA's listed starter Drew Lock didn't start last week (S.Darnold did). Check QB status before kickoff.
How the 10,000 sims landedHow to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from SF's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where SF covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
How to read this chart
The game is played 10,000 times. Line up every final margin from SF's biggest win to SEA's biggest win, then show them as 100 dots: each dot stands for 100 sims.
Dots further right are bigger SEA wins. Filled dots are sims where SEA covers the market line (the dashed mark); hollow ones are where SF covers.
Count the filled dots and you have the cover chance. A wide spread means the result is hard to call.
SEA covers −3.0 in 34%
Players
SF 49ersFantasy points, PPR
- Christian McCaffrey RB52 rush yds · 59 rec yds · 5.1 catches · 0.8 TD21.114–27
- Brock Purdy QB263 pass yds · 1.8 pass TD · 23 rush yds19.114–23
- Mike Evans WR66 rec yds · 5.7 catches · 0.5 TD15.19–20
- George Kittle TE61 rec yds · 5.2 catches · 0.4 TD13.88–18
- Deebo Samuel Sr. WR7 rush yds · 45 rec yds · 3.9 catches · 0.4 TD11.46–15
- Eddy Pineiro KField goals and extra points8.15–11
49ers D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed6.33–9- Kaelon Black RB30 rush yds · 0.2 TD5.52–8
- Jacob Cowing WR9 rec yds · 0.8 catches · 0.1 TD2.20–3
SEA SeahawksFantasy points, PPR
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR93 rec yds · 8.4 catches · 0.6 TD21.215–27
- Drew Lock QB241 pass yds · 1.5 pass TD · 15 rush yds15.411–20
- Emanuel Wilson RB78 rush yds · 13 rec yds · 1.1 catches · 0.7 TD14.38–19
- AJ Barner TE36 rec yds · 3.2 catches · 0.2 TD8.34–11
- Rashid Shaheed WR33 rec yds · 3.0 catches · 0.2 TD8.34–12
- Jason Myers KField goals and extra points7.44–10
- George Holani RBQuestionable23 rush yds · 15 rec yds · 1.3 catches · 0.3 TD · plays in 80% of sims6.62–10
- Cooper Kupp WR27 rec yds · 2.5 catches · 0.2 TD6.13–9
Seahawks D/ST DSTSacks, takeaways, points allowed4.92–7- Tory Horton WR10 rec yds · 0.9 catches · 0.1 TD2.20–3
Team ratingsOpponent-adjusted, as of kickoff
| EPA per play | SF | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Pass offense | +0.102 | −0.023 |
| Rush offense | +0.008 | −0.005 |
| Pass defense, allowed | +0.012 | −0.011 |
| Rush defense, allowed | −0.002 | −0.015 |
| QB, per dropback | +0.111 | −0.038 |